Clinical Summary

Validated Clinical Benefits of Oncotype DX

Based on data from the nearly 3,300 patients in development and validation studies, the Oncotype DX Colon Cancer Assay delivers clinically valuable information that can be used to help make decisions about adjuvant therapy. These studies, as well as data from a rigorous process of analytical validation, support the consistency, reproducibility, and accuracy of the Oncotype DX assay. The assay provides an individualized colon cancer Recurrence Score, which gives you patient-specific information to help decide which of your stage II colon cancer patients should be most appropriately considered for post-surgical chemotherapy.

The Recurrence Score is based upon the quantitative expression of the 7 cancer genes, normalized to the 5 reference genes. The  colon cancer Recurrence Score includes 7 genes identified as consistently and significantly associated with recurrence free interval (RFI) in the 1,851 patients from the development studies. These genes include the cell cycle group (Ki-67, MYBL2, C-MYC), the stromal group (FAP, INHBA, BGN) and GADD45B. The pre-specified Recurrence Score gene panel was validated in 1,436 stage II colon cancer patients with tissue from the QUASAR trial.

Colon Cancer 12 gene panel

QUASAR – Largest Randomized Study of Observation versus Adjuvant 5FU/LV in Stage II Colon Cancer

  • 2,146 patients with stage II colon cancer participated in this landmark randomized study to determine the benefit of adjuvant 5FU/LV chemotherapy compared to surgery alone
  • Total QUASAR enrollment (n=3,239) included stage III and rectal cancer patients
  • 5FU/LV produced a 20% relative risk reduction for both recurrence and survival in stage II colon cancer, with an absolute benefit of approximately 3-4%
  • Tumor specimens were available for nearly 70% of stage II colon cancer patients in QUASAR
Colon Cancer 12 gene panel

A Quantitative Multi-Gene RT-PCR Assay for Prediction of Recurrence in Stage II Colon Cancer: QUASAR Validation Study

The QUASAR study results strongly support a new paradigm for assessing risk of recurrence in stage II colon cancer, emphasizing the critical role of three measures: Recurrence Score, Mismatch Repair/Microsatellite Instability (MMR/MSI) and T-stage

  • QUASAR validated the Oncotype DX Colon Cancer Assay in 1436 stage II colon cancer patients using prospectively defined endpoints including recurrence-free interval (RFI), disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS).
  • In the primary analysis, the continuous Recurrence Score was significantly associated with recurrence risk (P=0.004), with a near linear relationship between RS and risk of recurrence. 3 year colon cancer recurrence risk ranged from 9-11% at low RS to 25-27% at high RS.
    Recurrence Score Correlations 
  • In a pre-specified multivariate analysis, Recurrence Score (P=0.008) demonstrated a significant and independent ability to predict recurrence, even after simultaneously accounting for the prognostic effects of tumor grade, lymphovascular invasion, number of nodes examined, T-stage, and MMR status. Recurrence Score, T stage and MMR status, were the most important, independent predictors of recurrence.

Population Distribution and Colon Cancer Recurrence Risk by Recurrence Score in the Clinical Validation Study

Chart Recurrence
  • In a secondary analysis, recurrence risk was analyzed for 3 groups of patients defined by pre-specified cutpoints in RS. Cutpoints in RS were defined to capture sufficiently large numbers of patients in each recurrence risk group to permit statistical analyses: the low recurrence risk group included patients with RS
  • A protocol-specified comparison of the high versus low recurrence risk groups in a Cox model shows significant HR 1.47 (with p
  • While this grouping enabled the statistical analyses described here, the greatest clinical utility for the Recurrence Score will be as a continuous measure, where quantitative, individual recurrence risk is incorporated with the specific clinical features of each patient to make an informed, personalized  colon cancer treatment plan.

Putting the Colon Cancer Recurrence Score into Context: Independent Value Beyond Existing Clinical and Pathological Features

In a protocol-specified multivariate analysis, the Recurrence Score was shown to be a powerful, independent predictor of recurrence risk providing value beyond available measures. Three factors -- Recurrence Score, MMR status, and T stage -- were found to be the most significant independent predictors of recurrence risk following surgery.

  • Recurrence Score remained significantly associated with recurrence free interval (RFI) (P=0.008) after simultaneously controlling for the prognostic effects of MMR, T stage, tumor grade, number of nodes examined, and LVI, with Recurrence Score retaining the HR and significance level observed in univariate analyses.
  • The 13% of patients with MMR deficiency (MMR-D) have a significantly lower recurrence risk than the 87% of patients with MMR proficiency (MMR-P). Given the small proportion of patients with MMR-D, patients with MMR-P have near-average recurrence risk. Thus, although MMR-D is a marker of low risk, MMR-P is not a marker of high risk.>
  • The 15% of patients with T4 stage have a significantly higher recurrence risk than the 85% of patients with T3 disease. Given the small proportion of patients with T4 stage, patients with T3 disease have similar risk to the overall stage II colon cancer population. Thus, although T4 stage is a marker of high risk, T3 is not a marker of low risk.
  • MMR-D and T4 stage are informative for a small fraction of patients (13% and 15%, respectively), defining populations with significantly lower risk and higher risk, respectively. However, given the large proportion of patients who do not have MMR-D or T4 stage, MMR and T stage are not informative for the majority of patients.
  • In the multivariate analysis, other commonly used clinical and pathologic features were found to have lower statistical significance and weaker effects -- tumor grade (P=0.026), number of nodes examined (P=0.040), and lymphovascular invasion (P=0.175).
     Pre-specified multivariate analysis

Consistency of the Colon Cancer Recurrence Score Across All Clinical Endpoints

The continuous Recurrence Score was significantly associated with the primary clinical endpoint, recurrence-free interval (RFI) (P=0.004). In addition, the continuous Recurrence Score was also significantly associated with both DFS (P=0.01) and OS (P=0.04). DFS and OS were defined as secondary clinical endpoints for the study because tumor biology would not be expected to predict death from causes other than colon cancer – events which are included in the DFS and OS endpoints

Consistent and significant results for Recurrence Score across all three clinical endpoints studied (RFI, DFS, and OS) reinforce confidence in the association of the continuous Recurrence Score with outcome in stage II colon cancer following surgery.

Score and Alternative Endpoints

The Need for Individualized Risk Assessment: Limitations with Existing Clinical and Pathologic Markers

The colon cancer Recurrence Score result provides additional insight into the likelihood of colon cancer recurrence that goes beyond existing measures such as nodal assessment, bowel perforation, bowel obstruction, tumor grade, lymphatic or venous invasion, T-Stage and Mismatch Repair (MMR) Status. Not one of these prognostic factors singularly helps identify the majority of patients at risk for recurrence and reduced survival in colon cancer. Current guidelines recommend that patients with any of these clinical and pathologic risk features be considered high risk, with all other patients classified as standard risk. Lymph node involvement, T-stage, and MMR status have proven to be clear prognostic factors, yet apply to a minority of stage II colon cancer patients.

T-Stage and Outcome in Stage II Colon Cancer – SEER database 1991-2000

  • T-Stage has been recognized as an important prognostic factor for stage II colon cancer
  • In 119,363 colon cancer patients from the SEER database, the 5-year risk of death was 15.3% in patients with T3 disease as compared to 27.8% for those with T4 tumors
  • Patients with T3 disease have a risk of death similar to the overall stage II population (15.3% versus 17% respectively)
  • The unmet need remains with the 83% of stage II colon cancer patients with T3 tumors, who are known to be a heterogeneous population with a wide range of individual risk but as a group are currently considered to be standard risk. This proportion of T3 tumors in SEER is consistent with the 85% found in both the QUASAR study and multivariate QUASAR analysis. 
    Stage II Colon Cancer 

MMR Testing for Recurrence Risk Assessment

Genomic Health is pleased to announce the expansion of its Oncotype DX® colon cancer offering to include immunohistochemistry (IHC) testing to assess mismatch repair (MMR) status for stage II colon cancer recurrence risk*. Health care providers are now able to order Oncotype DX and MMR at the same time in a convenient one-step process by selecting the Sequential Assay option on the Oncotype DX requisition form. Results from the recently published QUASAR validation study strongly support a paradigm in which the Oncotype DX Colon Cancer Recurrence Score®, MMR status, and T stage are used to determine recurrence risk for individual patients with stage II colon cancer. The QUASAR study results, which are highly consistent with several other published studies, demonstrate that MMR testing is clinically useful for identifying the ~15% of stage II patients with MMR-Deficient (MMR-D) tumor biology who have low recurrence risk. MMR testing also enables the identification of the patients with T3 MMR-Proficient (MMR-P) tumors, standard risk patients constituting the majority (~70%) of stage II colon cancer in whom the Recurrence Score provides valuable recurrence risk discrimination not available with conventional clinical and pathologic factors. With MMR status and the Recurrence Score result for the individual stage II colon cancer patient, you will have a more complete picture of each patient’s unique tumor biology and important information needed to make a more informed, individualized treatment plan following surgery.

Identifies Resected Colon Cancer 

QUASAR Study: Insight Beyond Existing Markers

The Recurrence Score result provides additional insight into the likelihood of colon cancer recurrence for individual patients that goes beyond existing measures. In the validation study, an analysis was performed in 650 patients with available data for Recurrence Score, T stage, MMR status, tumor grade, number of nodes examined, and lymphovascular invasion. In this pre-specified multivariate analysis, Recurrence Score (P=0.008) demonstrated a significant and independent ability to predict recurrence, even after simultaneously accounting for the prognostic effects of tumor grade, lymphovascular invasion, number of nodes examined, T-stage, and MMR status. Recurrence Score, T stage and MMR status, were the most important, independent predictors of recurrence.

  1. Given the independent, significant importance of T4 stage, MMR-D, and Recurrence Score for predicting recurrence risk in stage II colon cancer following surgery, these results support a paradigm in which individualized risk assessment can be achieved with knowledge of these three factors. Both T4 stage and MMR-D have limited applicability in terms of patient percentages for the subgroups defined by these markers. The Recurrence Score provides a personalized risk analysis for each and every stage II patient
  2. For patients with T3, MMR-P tumors, the Recurrence Score provides information to further delineate risk in this population, where existing markers may not be informative. The above figure illustrates the Recurrence Score by recurrence risk relationship, adjusted for 3 subgroups of patients defined by T stage and MMR status.
  • T3, MMR-D (11% of patients): These patients are at low risk of recurrence, as conferred by MMR-D.
  • T4, MMR-P (13% of patients): These patients have a high risk of recurrence, as conferred by T4 stage
  • T3, MMR-P (74% of patients): These patients would be considered as standard risk, by current measures. The Recurrence Score will have its greatest value in this population of patients, for whom existing markers are not informative for further delineating individual recurrence risk.

Note: The solid curves represent 3-year recurrence risk estimates from the Cox model. Dotted lines indicate 95% confidence intervals for each curve.

  1. Colon Cancer Recurrence Score Benefits:
  • RS is independent of T stage and MMR status and provides quantitative, individualized information regarding recurrence risk
  • The greatest value of the Recurrence Score is likely to reside in the population of patients (74%) for whom T stage and MMR status are NOT informative (i.e. the T3, MMR-P patient) and other existing markers have limited utility 
    T3, MMR-P patients constitute majority of stage II colon cancer 

 

Oncotype DX assay